Current Scenario
of Real Estate in India
With the year 2016 approaching towards an end,
we look forward to the New Year and revisit the Real Estate developments and the
changing trends in the industry. It makes a lot of sense to revisit all the
developments that have happened so far in this sector and how it will impact
the coming year of 2017 for Real Estate Growth.
India’s Real Estate
Sector is the second largest employer after agriculture and is expected to gain
its reputation after the implementation of RERA in each state. It has been gathered
that the real estate sector will generate revenues worth US$ 180 billion by
2020 as against US$ 66.8 billion in 2010-11. The real estate industry has
evolved over the past decade and have moved towards being a more mature and
organized industry. It is moving towards a direction where we are having global
investors amongst others seeing the long-term potential as our economy is
amongst the fastest growing economies in the world. With a lot of action and
regulatory changes, the industry has a mixed reaction but I feel that the year 2017
will be positive for the investment purposes.
Speaking
specifically of the year 2016, the secondary market had been booming at a good
pace. As a matter of fact, the last two years were more of a policy formation
and adjustment phases starting from the supply to the demand phase. As per the
industry experts, the market is slow but this slowdown in Real Estate is not an
indication of problem, rather it’s a return of normal market rates and a more
balanced and mature market. With a majority of home buyers between an age group
of 28-35, the changing economic conditions of the country will surely add to
consumers’ wallets and allow them to either make the purchase of their first
home or upgrade to a new one. The trends like smart cities, green cities, high
rise cities, affordable housing etc are attracting a lot of investors and
developers to cater to the these buyers. With the upcoming RERA guidelines this
is playing a very crucial role in making the developers serious with their
delivery timelines. The developers are not trying to put their act together and
be RERA compliance and avoid any penalties and fines. Also, with the history of
all the undelivered projects in the past, there is now a lot of demand for
ready to move in properties and projects nearing completion.
Moreover, the
residential market is moving towards the realistic pricing and is attracting
the end users who were sitting on the fence to take a decision in buying a
property. For them this is the best time to buy Real Estate. We suggest that don’t expect exorbitant
returns in the present scenario but a decent upward graph will be seen in the
Real estate prices starting 2017. Investor sentiments are still not that great
but it is bound to revive in the coming year 2017. With the real estate
regulatory amendments; credibility and positivity is building up confidence in
the minds of investors who will sooner or later get drawn back into the market.
According to data
released by Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), the
construction development sector in India has received Foreign Direct Investment
(FDI) equity inflows to the tune of US$ 24.19 billion in the period April
2000-March 2016. The central government is expected to execute a slew of big ticket economic
reforms over the next 2 years as it strengthens its presence. Ease of Doing
business, freedom to operate 24 / 7 - The central government is taking numerous
steps towards cutting red-tape which has delivered positive results.
In 2016, office
space demand was mainly driven by IT/ ITeS, e-commerce, start-ups and large
consulting firms. As per the research
surveys by research companies, Commercial market remained strong in Q2 2016
with 10.4 million sq ft of office absorption totaling to about 19.2 million sq
ft YTD. The demand was well supplemented by the new supply and existing vacant
stock, but vacancy levels have gone down in most of the cities due to limited
addition of new supply.
The central
government took fresh steps to boost foreign direct investments (FDI) in real
estate. Several clauses governing entry and exit of foreign investors were
relaxed or removed. Several steps have been undertaken by the central
government over the last 2-3 years which have helped enhance investment inflow
in the country. As per industry data- Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflow in
the country increased by 29.32% compared to previous year and stood at $40
Billion for FY 2016. The FDI stood at $30.9 Billion for the same
period, previous fiscal. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflow in the country
increased by 29.32% compared to previous year and stood at $40 Billion for
FY 2016. Private equity inflows in the real estate sector rose 33 per cent
to Rs. 5,193 crore in the first half of 2016 on an improved
investment climate following reforms like the real estate regulatory law,
easing of FDI rules and introduction of real estate investment trusts (REITs),
according to property consultant. The Indian real estate sector has witnessed
high growth in recent times with the rise in demand for office as well as
residential spaces.
With the Union
Budget, I am sure that the Government is affirmed and committed towards
affordable housing and real estate sector by the announcement by RBI on the
repo rate cut immediately after the Budget announcement. This cut in home loan
interest rates is very beneficial and one of the most effective way of boosting
property sales. With it helping more individuals with lower – middle income
group to buy their own homes, this will also help to offset the slump faced by
the real estate sector. With a lot of initiatives being taken by the
central government to boom the Real Estate market, I am sure that with the cash
flows in and out of the country the market will get impacted positively.
Currently Real Estate is in a mid phase of policy formation and implementation.
The need of the hour is to move towards a corrective side where there are
realistic rates with realistic transactions taking place. To conclude, the
sentiments of the domestic market in buying and selling of Real Estate has
changed over a period of time and looking at the current trends we expect a
huge turnover in Real Estate transactions by 2017.